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Спасет ли очередная девальвация?

Вновь актуализировалась тема девальвации. Курс доллара в некоторых обменных пунктах превысил границу в Br9000. Эту тему опять активно обсуждают и на кухнях, и в интернете. Власти по старой недоброй традиции опровергают очевидное. Не станем гадать как скоро случится девальвация, какой она будет — плавной или скачкообразной, попробуем оценить, будет ли от очередной девальвации хоть какой-то толк.

Считается, что путем девальвации можно спасти нашу загибающуюся экономику и реанимировать экспорт. «Сейчас, в отличие от предыдущих месяцев, со стороны властей принимаются правильные шаги: рубль постепенно девальвируется. Дело в том, что белорусский экспорт упал на 20% по сравнению с прошлым годом, следовательно, и объем валюты, поступающий в нашу страну, снизился на 20%. Что в таком случае делают адекватные экономические власти? Ослабляют курс национальной валюты», считает, к примеру, Леонид Заико. «Я считаю, что плавной девальвации белорусского рубля по 2-3% в месяц до конца года должно хватить для восстановления баланса», продолжает он. Теоретически верно, так в рыночных экономиках курсообразование и работает. Но поможет ли девальвация в нашем случае? Ведь нашей экономике до рыночной еще очень далеко. И никаких рыночных реформ не проводилось с 2011 года и не проводиться, даже вон обратный процесс пошел, началась национализация и власти вернули «золотую акцию»«.

Так что стоит вспомнить, что девальвация 2011 года практически никак не повлияла на стабилизацию ситуации в стране, вернее не только она повлияла. Да, благодаря девальвации удалось на некоторое время разгрузить склады. Продукцию, которую выпустили и отправили на склад при курсе в Br3000 за USD1, потом при курсе почти в 9000 удалось распродать относительно легко. И какое-то время еще удавалось работать, используя старые запасы комплектующих. Но уже очень скоро сырье, энергоносители, комплектующие предприятиям пришлось закупать исходя из нового курса. Так что девальвационный эффект был кратковременным, и не он обеспечил стабилизацию экономики более чем на год. На самом деле стабилизации ситуации в гораздо большей степени поспособствовали совсем другие факторы, которые сегодня апологеты девальвации стараются не замечать.

Во-первых, это внешние денежные вливания. USD2,5 млрд. за «Белтрансгаз» и почти USD3 млрд. «стабилизационного» кредита АКФ. Кредит, правда, был разбит на шесть частей, чтобы мы не «растрынькали» деньги сразу, и последний транш этого кредита мы вот-вот должны получить. И эти примерно полмиллиарда долларов каждые три-четыре месяца существенно помогали обеспечивать «стабильность», позволяя латать все новые и новые дыры в экономике. Кстати, предусмотренные условиями кредита реформы мы так и не провели и даже не собирались проводить, как теперь выясняется. Пообещали только, чтобы деньги «сорвать». Но без реформ, чисто очередной девальвацией экономику, увы, не спасти.

Еще одним фактором стабилизации ситуации был приснопамятный «растворительный бизнес», который обеспечивал приток валюты фактически из «воздуха», просто изменением товарных кодов в накладных. Таким образом, девальвация 2011 года сыграла очень незначительную роль в последующей стабилизации ситуации в стране, если вообще сыграла.

Хотя, надо признать, белорусская «валюта» действительно снова сильно переоценена. Ведь получив внешнее финансирование, белорусские власти вместо того, чтобы заняться реформированием экономики, просто восстановили статус-кво, вернули все к состоянию декабря 2010 года, и все, насколько им это удалось, вернули «к норме». Тем самым они восстановили предпосылки для масштабного кризиса и девальвации. Так что девальвация вполне возможна, но экономику она не спасет, как не спасла экономику и девальвация 2011 года. Тем более, что на еще одну трехкратную девальвацию наши власти уже не решаться, а 20-30% в нашей теперешней ситуации это «как мертвому припарки». Только народ взбудоражить — вот и весь «экономический эффект». Приведение, к примеру, в соответствие зарплат и производительности продаж, даже не труда, а именно продаж, оказало бы гораздо большую пользу экономике.

Пока нельзя предсказать какую тактику выбрала наша власть и выбрала ли вообще. Плавная девальвация или разовая? Это пока не ясно. Ясно одно: без реформ девальвация систему уже не спасет. Даже очередные кредиты МВФ или АКФ уже не спасают, хотя и могут продлить агонию. Только реформы могут превратить «стабильную» агонию в стабильный рост.

Юрий Пшенник

http://nmnby.eu/news/analytics/5224.html


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My symptoms began with shortness of breath, and tight feeling in throat. This only happend at night, in bed. It turned out, once I removed a pet (hedgehog)from the room, 2-3 days later, the problems went away.
, basically, things deteriorated for several months before the relationship ended, but I was still optimistic about the relationship's future until it was finally over for good. While I didn't really want to end things, I had seen the problems increasing and was relieved to some degree to no longer have to fight an uphill battle in terms of keeping us together. It was quite difficult to adjust to life without my boyfriend, who had spent every night in my bed since we met 3+ years ago and been there like a rock through the onset of chronic illness, several moves and different living situations, and much family drama. We were extremely close best friends who shared everything and never imagined ourselves apart until the end was clearly near...while I wasn't that upset to lose him as a boyfriend, as I saw that decision was for definitely for the best, it was heartbreaking all of a sudden to have such a cherished friend ripped out of my life.
Discuss your general health status with your doctor to ensure that you are healthy enough to engage in sexual activity. If you experience chest pain, nausea, or any other discomforts during sex, seek immediate medical help.
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Do not take VIAGRA if you take nitrates, often prescribed for chest pain, as this may cause a sudden, unsafe drop in blood pressure.
, or call 1-800-FDA-1088. By clicking on this link you will be leaving VIAGRA.com. This website is neither owned nor controlled by Pfizer. Pfizer is not responsible for the content or services of this site.
VIAGRA should not be used with other treatments that cause erections. VIAGRA should not be used with REVATIO as REVATIO contains sildenafil, the same medicine found in VIAGRA.

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In rare instances, men taking PDE5 inhibitors (oral erectile dysfunction medicines, including VIAGRA) reported a sudden decrease or loss of vision. It is not possible to determine whether these events are related directly to these medicines or to other factors. If you experience sudden decrease or loss of vision, stop taking PDE5 inhibitors, including VIAGRA, and call a doctor right away.
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VIAGRA is prescribed to treat erectile dysfunction (ED).
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:It does not surprise me that any hepatologist would even consider this product for treatment of hepatitis C as it is a natural product! and therefore goes against conventional medicine. I did not claim that colloidal silver kills the hepatitis C virus, I was merely reasoning on the facts, however I do know of someone that had advanced Hep C who had been using colloidal silver with excellent results. Prior to it's use, this person was having up to 4 night sweats a night with at least 1 major one that required a full bedding change, he also was very tired most of the time, he couldnt play with his children as it was too exhausting, 10 minutes in the garden was a full days work. Within 5 days he was reporting a reduction in night sweats, by the 8th day he reported no night sweats at all which was a relief to his wife as she says it was driving her mad.He had renewed energy and had become more active.He had also gained a healthy amount of weight which he really needed as he was underweight. One month later he seen a Sclerologist who reported that the liver was repairing itself.He continues to improve.My question you quoted back to me to which you answered "no" "has anyone had success with this product" Leonard Mullen put a post on the Hep C board dated 11/19/99 entitled, "My son cured of Hepatitis C" to which you yourself answered.The blood tests that showed no Hep C after being diagnosed some months earlier are encouraging to Hep C sufferers.You wanted me to prove that it is safe and effective?The F.D.A. have taken care of that request: Sept.13,1991,letter written by the Food and drug administration's consumer safety officer, Harold Davis, states that Colloidal Silver, considered to be a pre 1938 drug, "may continue to be marketed without submitted evidence of safety and effectiveness (required of all prescription drugs marketed after 193smiley as long as they are advertised and labeled for the use as in 1938"
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Sudden decrease or loss of hearing has been rarely reported in people taking PDE5 inhibitors, including VIAGRA. It is not possible to determine whether these events are related directly to the PDE5 inhibitors or to other factors. If you experience sudden decrease or loss of hearing, stop taking VIAGRA and contact a doctor right away.
Just to let you know. There is NO magic pill that will help him. It takes along time to get this stuff into remission. (If at all). There are lots of supplements that he needs to be on to help the immune system get back up.
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01:12:40 9/09/00 ( - Dan 08:30:16 9/17/00 ( - Ron, edited
VIAGRA does not protect against sexually transmitted diseases, including HIV.
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VIAGRA should not be used with other treatments that cause erections. VIAGRA should not be used with REVATIO as REVATIO contains sildenafil, the same medicine found in VIAGRA.

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9. The knee is stable, with normal alignment (corrective procedure may be performed in combination with or prior to transplantation);
If you have prostate problems or high blood pressure for which you take medicines called alpha blockers, your doctor may start you on a lower dose of VIAGRA.
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, or call 1-800-FDA-1088. By clicking on this link you will be leaving VIAGRA.com. This website is neither owned nor controlled by Pfizer. Pfizer is not responsible for the content or services of this site.
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In rare instances, men taking PDE5 inhibitors (oral erectile dysfunction medicines, including VIAGRA) reported a sudden decrease or loss of vision. It is not possible to determine whether these events are related directly to these medicines or to other factors. If you experience sudden decrease or loss of vision, stop taking PDE5 inhibitors, including VIAGRA, and call a doctor right away.

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I also had started birth control for the first time 2 years ago when I got married, and realized that's when the migraines began to get worse. I'd never really made the connection before, because it seems like they've only ramped up to a constant thing in the past few months or so. I could deal with the once a month ones. About 6 months ago, a new doc switched me from Orthotricyclen Lo to Microgestin after having to change med insurance, so I'm wondering if that's what set it all off. It also seems to have annihilated my libido, poof, totally gone. (Not that I'm in the mood with all these migraines anyway!)
I had a cathader in for the 1st 9 days,I just couldn't move or get out of bed at all.
If you are older than age 65, or have serious liver or kidney problems, your doctor may start you at the lowest dose (25 mg) of VIAGRA. If you are taking protease inhibitors, such as for the treatment of HIV, your doctor may recommend a 25 mg dose and may limit you to a maximum single dose of 25 mg of VIAGRA in a 48-hour period.

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The pattern of increase is often a valuable clue. Prostate cancer is usually distinguished by a constant time period for the PSA to double. In other words, it goes from, say, 1,000,000 cancer cells, which divide, into 2,000,000; then the 2,000,000 split into 4,000,000; the 4,000,000 into 8,000,000, and so on. This creates what is known mathematically as an exponential pattern of increase. If you graph it with enough points, it will look like a curve with a steadily accelerating rise. Sometimes the pattern is murkier because of PSA increasing at the same time due to benign growth, or affected by infection. In your case, benign growth would not mess up the curve much, so you are left with infection or prostate cancer. Increases due to infection are only exponential by chance; normally they will be uneven, often forming a see-saw up and down pattern. What does your pattern look like?

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If you are older than age 65, or have serious liver or kidney problems, your doctor may start you at the lowest dose (25 mg) of VIAGRA. If you are taking protease inhibitors, such as for the treatment of HIV, your doctor may recommend a 25 mg dose and may limit you to a maximum single dose of 25 mg of VIAGRA in a 48-hour period.
You are encouraged to report negative side effects of prescription drugs to the FDA. Visit
Confused...why one dr. wants to keep her, drain it in the hospital because it is too painful to do as an outpatient. Another dr, says oh..a little antiobiotics and a visit. I am not sure. But I do know that I want to know what caused this and what can I do as a mother to help her not get another one.
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- Lick her vagina, did this one time, neither of really liked it so never did it again (no dental dam or whatever)
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The most common side effects of VIAGRA are headache, facial flushing, and upset stomach. Less commonly, bluish vision, blurred vision, or sensitivity to light may briefly occur.
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Ok this happens either when I push cuticles back too much, randomly happens, or if i my nervousiness i pell of top layer of nail (i know that is nasty, but just habit sorry
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If you are older than age 65, or have serious liver or kidney problems, your doctor may start you at the lowest dose (25 mg) of VIAGRA. If you are taking protease inhibitors, such as for the treatment of HIV, your doctor may recommend a 25 mg dose and may limit you to a maximum single dose of 25 mg of VIAGRA in a 48-hour period.
If you are trying to post, the administrator may have disabled your account, or it may be awaiting activation.

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In the rare event of an erection lasting more than 4 hours, seek immediate medical help to avoid long-term injury.
is a front line treatment for Generalized Anxiety Disorder. My guess is that your doctor is trying the treat the anxiety as your primary concern, while using a medication that can have positive effects on ADHD as well.
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, or call 1-800-FDA-1088. By clicking on this link you will be leaving VIAGRA.com. This website is neither owned nor controlled by Pfizer. Pfizer is not responsible for the content or services of this site.
Good Luck,
VIAGRA does not protect against sexually transmitted diseases, including HIV.
If you are older than age 65, or have serious liver or kidney problems, your doctor may start you at the lowest dose (25 mg) of VIAGRA. If you are taking protease inhibitors, such as for the treatment of HIV, your doctor may recommend a 25 mg dose and may limit you to a maximum single dose of 25 mg of VIAGRA in a 48-hour period.
if you just started excercising than the HIIT won't be for you I only recommend that when your in a rut w/ you workouts if you start the sprint, jog in the beginning than what are you going to do when your in a rut...

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The most common side effects of VIAGRA are headache, facial flushing, and upset stomach. Less commonly, bluish vision, blurred vision, or sensitivity to light may briefly occur.
The biggest problem for most people is: When they raise their protein, they lose their apetite for healthy fresh fruits and non-starchy vegetables. And a good athlete needs these healthy foods.
Dr. Walsh's third point is short: "Third, the authors [of a pro-*********** paper he is responding to - are advocating the off-label use of a drug that is not approved by the US Food and Drug Administration as safe or effective in preventing prostate cancer." That's true. However, it is also trivial. Regarding safety, the massive PCPT trial and long experience with *********** for BPH have established that *********** is a remarkably mild and safe drug, though with some concerns, as is the case with virtually every drug. Of course, the FDA has approved both *********** and Avodart as safe and effective for BPH, following expensive, large trials by the companies that developed and hoped to market the drg. Regarding effectiveness, the PCPT established that, and the powerful trial result evidence is further bolstered by the recently informally reported success in prevention by the sister drug, Avodart, also achieving about 25% prevention. The oncologist community (in contrast to the surgical community) is keenly aware that, due to the great expense and effort in winning FDA approval for drugs, many highly useful drugs against specific diseases are not FDA approved for those diseases. (What do you think the chances are that some company will spend major bucks to prove the benefit of a drug that is now generic? Probably not likely.) However, they are frequently used under what are termed "off-label" procedures for those diseases, and doctors and the FDA are quite comfortable with that. I'm not an MD, but as I understand it, a drug that is approved by the FDA for one disease can be used by a physician to treat another disease provided he explains the risks and benefits to the patient.
VIAGRA is prescribed to treat erectile dysfunction (ED).

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Sudden decrease or loss of hearing has been rarely reported in people taking PDE5 inhibitors, including VIAGRA. It is not possible to determine whether these events are related directly to the PDE5 inhibitors or to other factors. If you experience sudden decrease or loss of hearing, stop taking VIAGRA and contact a doctor right away.
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I brought this question up a few weeks ago and got a few responses, but I'd like to bring it up again and see if anyone has a similar experience to share. After two friends with hip/knee replacements told me that I would need to take antibiotics before having my teeth cleaned (now that I have hardware in my back), I asked my surgeon about this a couple of weeks ago. He said no, that only people with total joint replacements needed to prep with antibiotics. Then when I went to the dentist the next week to have my teeth cleaned, the office manager asked if I had taken my antibiotics. I told them no, that my surgeon said I didn't need to. But here is where I begin to wonder about things... I had been battling flu/bronchitis stuff for a couple of weeks before my dental appt... I thought it had cleared up before I went to the dentist... and then the very next day I had a relapse with the bronchitis and pink eye
I am a 29 year old single guy, the girl I am referring too is either 24 or 25, shes single as well. I have known her about 6 years, although not very closely. Shes beautiful, intelligent, responsible, everything good. Seriously shes like the type of girl that every normal guy dreams about meeting.
Blurred vision in both eyes when insulin or other treatment begins is almost never caused by damage to the eye. Rather, it results from the speed at which the swelling, due to high blood sugars in the previous weeks and months, dissipates from the lens. Vision is usually out of sync for 3 to 4 weeks, sometimes with an accompanying headache.
Do not take VIAGRA if you take nitrates, often prescribed for chest pain, as this may cause a sudden, unsafe drop in blood pressure.
, or call 1-800-FDA-1088. By clicking on this link you will be leaving VIAGRA.com. This website is neither owned nor controlled by Pfizer. Pfizer is not responsible for the content or services of this site.

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Anyway, I get external hemmies and the pain is quite bad...and it radiates down into my leg and upward to my tailbone. All depends on what nerves are around it I guess.
Last thing is i use to depend on drinking most of my life to help me in social situations well that did NOTHING but turn me into an alcholic so now i am going to try it with NO booze. I have to admit tho deep down inside im hoping no one asks me out for a while so i have more time to prepare smiley
VIAGRA is prescribed to treat erectile dysfunction (ED).
Discuss your general health status with your doctor to ensure that you are healthy enough to engage in sexual activity. If you experience chest pain, nausea, or any other discomforts during sex, seek immediate medical help.
Mainstream Non-mainstream (toothpaste, mouthwash, dental floss, breath spray, gum, mints, candy/chocolate, cough drops, cough syrup, nasal spray, vitamins, fruit preserves, and “sugar”granules):

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Do not take VIAGRA if you take nitrates, often prescribed for chest pain, as this may cause a sudden, unsafe drop in blood pressure.
Sudden decrease or loss of hearing has been rarely reported in people taking PDE5 inhibitors, including VIAGRA. It is not possible to determine whether these events are related directly to the PDE5 inhibitors or to other factors. If you experience sudden decrease or loss of hearing, stop taking VIAGRA and contact a doctor right away.
instant fix--a way of immediately relieving those waves of anxiety and depression. I do notice that so many of us who have allowed ourselves to get sucked into drug-taking are long-term, episodic depressives.

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Discuss your general health status with your doctor to ensure that you are healthy enough to engage in sexual activity. If you experience chest pain, nausea, or any other discomforts during sex, seek immediate medical help.
Discuss your general health status with your doctor to ensure that you are healthy enough to engage in sexual activity. If you experience chest pain, nausea, or any other discomforts during sex, seek immediate medical help.
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Make sure whoever does your endoscopy knows Celiac and does at least 6 to 15 different biopsy sites in the lower small intestine. The damage caused by Celiac is patchy, and often not found at all in the upper part of the small intestine. It's almost impossible to find with two or three tiny biopsy sites, which many regular gastro's still perform. False-negative celiac biopsies are almost always due to doctor error or inexperience.

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, or call 1-800-FDA-1088. By clicking on this link you will be leaving VIAGRA.com. This website is neither owned nor controlled by Pfizer. Pfizer is not responsible for the content or services of this site.
VIAGRA does not protect against sexually transmitted diseases, including HIV.
In rare instances, men taking PDE5 inhibitors (oral erectile dysfunction medicines, including VIAGRA) reported a sudden decrease or loss of vision. It is not possible to determine whether these events are related directly to these medicines or to other factors. If you experience sudden decrease or loss of vision, stop taking PDE5 inhibitors, including VIAGRA, and call a doctor right away.
On Wednesday it felt pretty good so I thought that the numbness must have been from the tight bandage.
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I was once afraid of dying. This was only until recently. I always thought about death and how we would just end, become nothing. It never made much sense to me. How can some of us have so much love to give and do so much for this Earth and simply just disappear? In the recent years, I have become extremely involved in animal rescue and rehab and although I have always been very close to nature, I recently became even more close and gave up eating animal products for the sake of my health, the Earth and all sentient life on this Earth- all animals. Around this time, I became aware of someone who had passed away who would be about the same age I am now, just a few years older. The more I learned about this man, the more haunted I became because I learned that we are EXACTLY alike- sense of humor, passion, respect for all life, nature, sensitivity, the way we talked, the way we dressed, our music tastes, our connection and communication with other animals, our lifestyle, what we loved, even a bit of psychic ability- that I always doubted in myself- EVERYTHING, but we were different enough to be interesting to eachother, if this makes any sense. People would even tell me that I reminded them of him, and I never met him in my life or knew about him before they told me this! I've never been religious and wouldn't have even called myself spiritual but if I had a soul mate, it would be him. So, the more I learned about him and was so touched by who he was, what a beautiful, kind soul he was, the more I felt alone and far from true love- it made me extremely sad and I felt hopeless. How am I supposed to live without him now, and I will NEVER meet him- I fell into a deep depression at one of the busiest times in my life- animals to help/save, Ph.D to finish, a day job, a father with growing health problems- people to care for. This all sounds crazy but I mourned, yes for this person I had never met in my life but with whom I felt an intense connection and before I knew it his soul was communicating with me! Sure I may sound crazy but I don't care, I have always been a very skeptical scientist and questioned everything but he left me with no questions, every time I doubted it was real he proved me wrong. We communicated through raw emotion and energy, love- I don't quite understand it- we communicated through my mind which I guess could be the soul? I have always been very emotional and sensitive and have felt a bit different from others who are not that way but perhaps this is my soul that makes me this way? He came into my life, I saw him, we held one another in many dreams. He communicated with me in many ways. He would have wildlife- which he loved, approach me several times, once a huge flock of birds came right towards my window until I stopped crying and the sun was shining bright. Foxes approached me where I imagined him standing, other animals came to me when I thought of him. When I cried for him, he would make things happen with electrical appliances in my house, which were perfectly fine before and after I thought deeply of him and mourned for him, he came to visit me in my dreams, and it was always in the most beautiful, colorful, warm, and natural settings, it felt like pure love. He only visited me when I was in a very dangerous and deep depression and now I see it was to keep me going and give me hope and I am no longer afraid of death because I know I'll be with him. Something remarkable and similar happened when my cat of 21 years, my childhood bestfriend, passed away and I was hopeless, she came back to give me hope and the love we shared survived through death. Love never dies. Not long ago there was a winter storm that caused several accidents and at one point while I was driving home in it I almost crashed my car into a large truck and went off a bridge but something took control over my car as I was struggling to survive and make it home, it was something beyond my physical ability, and I felt he was looking out for me because I had asked him to help me during that frightening time. For your time here on Earth try to love as much as possible, set up a plan for your loved ones before you die, to make sure they will be fine when you move on, and you will see them again, I'm sure you will be able to comfort them from afar. Please also be kind to all life, all animals, don't eat animals or harm them. What I've learned is love is EVERYTHING, the most important thing on this Earth and once we die, we will be reminded of that. Be brave and follow your heart. I am a changed woman, and still a scientist, just a more hopeful and openminded one
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by Dr. Radut.